American University professor: It is very difficult for Biden to return to the JCPOA from the point of view of domestic politics
“Daniel Siror”, a professor at John Hopkins University in America, stated in an exclusive conversation with IRNA on Sunday: Israelis have maintained their position against the JCPOA. But I don’t feel that they are as determined as they were then. I mean, they have the experience of Trump’s tough sanctions that didn’t work against Iran. So, you know, this has certainly caused a rethinking of politics among some Israelis.
Daniel Serwer He is the director of US foreign policy and conflict management programs at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies in Washington and a former advisor to the US State Department. The interview with him is as follows:
IRNA: During the presidential election campaign, Biden talked about a quick return to the JCPOA and other international agreements that Trump withdrew from. After the election, Biden returned to some of these agreements, such as the Paris Climate Change Agreement. But regarding the JCPOA, he wasted time and continued Trump’s policy of maximum pressure. Why do you think the Biden administration has not yet returned to the nuclear deal?
Professor of International Relations at Johns Hopkins University: There is a major difference between the climate change agreement and the Iran nuclear deal. In the first one, there was no discussion at all. But the JCPOA is a deal
That would require the lifting of sanctions, which is controversial within the United States. That is, there are important political currents in the United States that do not want the sanctions on Iran to be lifted, even though these sanctions are in place
It has not been effective in the past years. But the fact is that the Republican Party and many in the Democratic Party are not in favor of lifting the sanctions. Political support for sanctions in the United States is strong.
Therefore, from the point of view of domestic politics, it is very difficult to return to the nuclear agreement.
IRNA: In your opinion, from an international point of view, what effect have the foreign allies of America had on Biden’s approach to return to the nuclear agreement with Iran?
Professor at Johns Hopkins University: The United States has friends and partners who oppose returning to the deal, especially Israel. Also, for reasons I don’t understand, the UAE and Saudi Arabia also b
They have opposed the revival of the JCPOA, which in my opinion is not logical at all. Because they are trying to improve relations with Iran. If JCPOA is not revived and war happens, for Saudi Arabia and
Emirates will be devastating. So it makes sense for Saudi Arabia and the UAE to go along with the return to the deal.
IRNA: Is this opposition due to their compromise agreement with Tel Aviv?
Professor at Johns Hopkins University: I don’t think this matter is decisive in their opposition to the JCPOA. They want more things to be done in the JCPOA to curb Iranian influence in the region. this
That was something that bothered them about the deal from the beginning, and I think they’re still worried about it.
IRNA: The Israelis are trying to prevent the revival of the JCPOA. Are we witnessing similar tensions between Washington and Tel Aviv as in 2015?
Professor at Johns Hopkins University: I don’t think the situation between Israel and the US is as tense as it was during the nuclear negotiations under Obama. The situation is different. The Israelis’ position against the JCPOA
have kept But I don’t feel that they are as determined as they were then. I mean, they have the experience of Trump’s tough sanctions that didn’t work against Iran. So you know, this
It has certainly caused a rethinking of politics among some Israelis. Of course, their government policy has not changed. At the same time, their government is weak. On the other hand, now their trust in
Biden is stronger than the confidence they had in Obama. That’s why I don’t think the Israelis will be decisive in opposing the JCPOA as before.
IRNA: How does the energy crisis in Europe affect Biden’s approach to revitalizing the JCPOA?
Professor at Johns Hopkins University: I don’t think it has much effect. In general, Biden would like to see more oil in the market, but this is not an important factor in his opinion regarding the agreement with Iran.
IRNA: What effect does America’s return to the JCPOA have on America’s domestic policy? And if Biden fails to revive the deal, what will be the domestic consequences?
Professor at Johns Hopkins University: If he returns to the JCPOA, a storm of criticism will be launched against Biden by Republicans and some pro-Israel Democrats. If Biden sanctions
If he continues, the non-revival of the agreement will not have much impact on the domestic situation.
The new round of negotiations to lift Iran sanctions after a five-month break began on August 13 in Vienna, and these negotiations ended after four days on August 17 when the delegations returned to the capitals.
The holding of this round of negotiations took place after the European Union’s foreign policy official claimed in the Financial Times newspaper that he has put a new proposal package on the table, which includes up-to-date solutions regarding the lifting of sanctions and Iran’s nuclear steps.
On August 25 (August 16), the Islamic Republic of Iran sent its comments and requests regarding the European Union’s proposals for sanctions relief talks in Vienna, and after more than a week, the United States gave its opinion on the issue on August 24 (August 24). presented to the European Union.
The spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Nasser Kanani, informed the coordinator on the 10th of Shahrivar (September 1st) about the submission of the Islamic Republic of Iran’s comments regarding the US response to the text of the draft agreement on the lifting of sanctions and said: After receiving the US response, the Islamic Republic of Iran’s expert team was carefully examined and Iran’s responses were compiled and delivered to the coordinator after evaluation at different levels. The submitted text has a constructive approach with the aim of finalizing the negotiations.
Since then, the United States is still evaluating Iran’s response, but says that the likelihood of reaching an agreement is not as high as it was in the past.
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken claimed in Brussels on September 18 that Iran abandoned some of its non-JCPOA demands, but its recent response has set us back.
This senior official of the Biden administration continued: We will only conclude an agreement that will advance our national security.
Reaching the finish line and the final agreement is pending the political decisions of the West, especially the United States of America as the party violating the 2015/94 agreement.
The Islamic Republic of Iran emphasizes that it is necessary to reach an agreement, the sustainability of the lifting of sanctions is somehow guaranteed, and no issue should remain as a pressure lever to be used against Tehran in the future.
In fact, Iran is looking for an agreement in which the economic benefit of the people is provided, Iran’s foreign trade is removed, and illegal restrictions on oil sales are removed.