Analyzing 7 years of performance of Urmia lake restoration headquarters / when rain was more effective for the lake than Rouhani’s government
According to the economic correspondent of Fars news agency, Lake Urmia is one of the most importantthe most The country’s environmental departments have been at the top of the list of media productions in this area for years with mostly negative news.
* The historical background of the organization of the government to preserve Lake Urmia
The issue of attention to maintaining conditions Lake Urmia is not related to the last decade, and the comprehensive and documented studies in the country’s scientific centers that can be traced back to 1373, which were analyzed in the form of a comprehensive plan review. After that, in 1380, a plan titled adaptation to the dry and semi-arid climate of Urmia was investigated, and the results of its studies were published in 1384.
On this basis, one of the most important programs for the preservation of the Urmia catchment area is also with modern literature in the joint memorandum on the protection and sustainable management of the Urmia lake catchment area between Ministry Force, Ministry of Jihad, Agriculture and Environmental Protection Organization October It was concluded in 2017.
This memorandum aims to establish an ecosystem management system for Lake Urmia and its satellite wetlands based on the principles of integrated management of water and soil resources and sustainable development and effective participation of all groups. ZRabat, including local communities, was established in the management of the lake.
Also, its 25-year vision for Lake Urmia is to reach a lake with enough water to stabilize the beautiful landscape and biodiversity. environmental that people and local communities use the capacities of the watershed wisely and are consciously diligent in its sustainable protection; Was determined.
The structure of the proposed organization in the form of the aforementioned memorandum under the title of Executive Headquarters for Sustainable Management of Urmia Lake headed by the President can also be seen in the diagram below.
* Rereading the formation of Urmia lake restoration headquarters
According to the history of Urmia lake preservation programs, these programs finally ended in the Urmia lake restoration headquarters at the last stage. Based on this, the review of the history of the formation of the rehabilitation headquarters working group The rescue of Urmia Lake under the responsibility of the Minister of Energy and with the presence of the Ministers of Jihad Agriculture and the Country, the Vice President of Planning and Strategic Supervision of the Presidency and the Head of the Environmental Protection Organization will return on 25/07/1392, based on the previous studies and the opinions of non-governmental organizations. ZIn relation to Lake Urmia, review operational solutions to save the lake and present the results to the Cabinet for final decision.
After doing the checks working group And while presenting the proposals of the provincial representatives (in the Islamic Council), it was decided to establish the Urmia Lake Restoration Headquarters with the authority of Article 138 under the chairmanship of the First Vice President. Therefore, according to the resolution of the meeting on Wednesday, 11/02/1392, the former first vice president was appointed as the head of Urmia lake restoration headquarters, and Isa Kalantari was appointed as the secretary and executive of the headquarters.
Despite the continuous activities formed at the highest level, Urmia Lake Restoration Headquarters started its activities in the media space as if a problem had arisen for the first time, and on the other hand, this group is supposed to provide an answer to this problem for the first time in history. to find
In this report, for the first time, we intend to analyze the technical activity of the aforementioned headquarters with all the margins that have arisen for the Urmia lake restoration headquarters.
* The issue of Lake Urmia, the level drop of 8 meters Lake Is
According to Fars, before entering Check Technical performance of the rehabilitation headquarters Lake Urmia, it is better to investigate the issue of this lake without creating media atmosphere.
According to this issue, the survey of the level of this lake over the past 57 years shows a decrease in the level of an average of 40 cm annually during the 20 years ending in 2013, which has not been seen in the long-term monitoring of the lake level. Based on this, from the mid-seventies to the early nineties, we have seen a drop of 8 meters in the level of Lake Urmia from 1278 meters to 1270 meters.
In another sense, the output of the Lake Urmia crisis YearIn the recent years, the level has dropped by nearly half a meter in recent years.
* Studying the conditions of Lake Urmia during the operation of the Urmia Lake Restoration Headquarters
According to the depicted problems of the drop in the level of Lake Urmia, the performance output of the rehabilitation headquarters can also be evaluated from the changes in the level of the lake during the last 7 years of activity based on the available statistics.
Based on this, if a cross-sectional look at the beginning of the headquarters activity in 2013 and also the conditions in end of If we put the twelfth government in 1400, we will find that the level of this lake has increased by 0.05 percent during this period and has increased by about 76 centimeters.
Perhaps the increase of this issue at first glance can be categorized as part of the desired performance of the headquarters, but a statistical analysis related to Urmia Lake reveals the reality of the results of the activities of the Urmia Lake Revitalization Headquarters.
Based on this, if we take a look at the graph of balance changes over the past 7 years, we will find that these changes are divided into 2 periods of improvement and 3 periods of deterioration.
Based on this, we saw a 10-centimeter drop in the lake level in 2014 after the start of the restoration work. After that, from 1394 to 1395, the level of Lake 56 centimeter grow up; It was in this situation that Hassan Rouhani, the president, said in an interview: “Since the first day of the government, we have put the issue of restoration of Lake Urmia on the agenda, and today we have reached the stabilization stage.”
However, from 1395 to 1397, the lake level continued to drop and we saw a decrease of 82 cm in the level of the lake.
After a drastic two-year drop, the lake level has increased by 160 cm in one year due to the significant increase in rainfall. Based on this, after the increase of the lake level in 2018, we saw the lake level drop three times since the beginning of the operation of the rehabilitation headquarters, and for the third time, the lake level of Urmia lake dropped by 69 cm.
* Statistical unveiling of the operation of Urmia lake restoration headquarters
The numerous periods of increase and decrease in the level of Lake Urmia bring to mind the proposition that the level of influence of the headquarters has been. Based on this, in the situation where the level of Urmia Lake was changing based on the approvals of the Rehabilitation Headquarters. The periods of increase and decrease should occur much less than the current rate and with less intensity.
In this regard, the fluctuation of the level with different intensity brings to mind the proposition that probably another factor has changed the level of Lake Urmia and the activity of the restoration headquarters is practically ineffective.
Based on this, the first effective factor in the balance issue is the issue of rainfall in the Urmia catchment area. According to the analysis of the rainfall graph, we first find out that during the last 7 years, according to the statistics, the fluctuation of rainfall in recent years has been similar to the fluctuation of the level of Lake Urmia, which has two peaks and three meridians.
Based on this, the fluctuation of rainfall with a one-year interval has been a significant adaptation to the changes in the level of Lake Urmia. In other words, according to the time interval between the occurrence of rainfall and the movement of water towards the lake, the movement of the rainfall rate graph to the right indicates a significant adjustment between the rainfall conditions and the level of the lake.
On this basis, based on Evidence According to the statistics of Urmia Lake Restoration Headquarters, with its 8 years of activity, it has had the least impact on the changes in the lake level, and practically, most of the changes in the condition of this lake have been related to the amount of rainfall.
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