Forecast of the capital market and the reason for the red color of the stock market in the second week of June

According to the economic reporter of Fars news agency, the capital market had a fluctuating trend in the second week of June, and this rise and fall of the stock market indices ultimately led to the negative returns of the stock market for the shareholders. Of course, it should also be noted that the heavy withdrawal of real money from the capital market during the last week could be the main reason for this drop.

In other words, the Tehran Stock Exchange finished the second week of June negative and we witnessed the reversal of the stock indices and the withdrawal of more than 4 thousand billion Tomans of real capital from the stock trading segment. A trend that has worried many.

The decrease in the value of small transactions, along with the increase in the value of the total transactions due to the growth of bond transactions in the capital market, can negatively affect the trend of the stock market in the coming weeks.

* After holding the stock market meetings, it returns to the upward trend

Mojtaba Danshi, a capital market expert, in an interview with the economic reporter of Fars News Agency, said: The entry and exit of real shareholders and the increase in the speed of money flow in the capital market and the rapid change in the direction of the market are signs of confusion and anxiety in the stock market, which must be treated as soon as possible. to be

He continued: I am not worried about the market at all under these conditions. But we are worried about people who appear as salesmen these days.

This capital market expert emphasized: The reports of last year and the first quarter of this year will definitely be better than last year’s reports.

Daneshi stated: The stability of the dollar rate and the good profitability of companies in 1401 are the important reasons that it seems that the capital market will find its way again after the assemblies, i.e. at the end of June.

* Negative returns of the total stock market index

In the last week, the total stock market index dropped by 34,746 points on Saturday. On Sunday, the index fell by 54,209 units. But Monday was the day of the market rise and the index rose 18 thousand 382 units. On Tuesday, the total index grew by 13 thousand and 33 points. On the last trading day of the week, the total index fell again and decreased by 17,385 points.

The total index reached 2 million 271 thousand 42 units on the last working day of the week and was 74 thousand 925 units lower compared to the last trading day of the previous week, and the weekly return of the stock market index was negative 3.2 percent.

* The behavior of the total index is equal to the total index

In the second week of June, the total weighted index of the stock market fell by 12 thousand and 93 points on Saturday. On Sunday, the index fell by 26,387 units. But Monday was the day of the market rise and the total weighted index rose by 8,584 units. On Tuesday, the total index grew by 10,884 points. On Wednesday, this index fell again and decreased by 8,385 units.

At the end of the week, the total weighted index was 27 thousand 397 points lower than the previous week and was at the level of 765 thousand 508 points, bringing a negative return of 3.46% for shareholders.

* Decrease in the value of small transactions in the stock market

This week, the average value of total stock market transactions was 74,374 billion tomans, which was 25% more than last week. This increase was mostly due to the increase in the purchase of law firms and the increase in bond transactions in the capital market.

The average value of small transactions of the stock exchange was 10,604 billion tomans, which has decreased by 16% compared to the previous week’s figure of 12,607 billion.

* Departure of real capital after weeks of arrival

All in all, in the last week, we saw the exit of real money from the market. On Saturday, 1,344 billion real money was withdrawn from the stock exchange. On Sunday, 2 thousand 98 billion real money was withdrawn. On Monday, real money entered and the net value of the change of legal ownership to real market was 211 billion tomans. On Tuesday, 54 billion Tomans were imported. But on Wednesday, 945 billion tomans of real money was withdrawn.

In total, 4 thousand 122 billion tomans of real money were withdrawn from the stock market during the whole week, and the average daily withdrawal of real money was 824 billion tomans.

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