Forecast of the stock exchange on Monday, June 1, 1402 / The stock market is at the equilibrium point – Tejaratnews

According to Tejarat News, in the forecast report of the Sunday stock exchange, it was mentioned that trading is expected to start with the continuation of the supply flow. Because the slope of the supply during the trading of this day did not decrease and the excitement of the suppliers was not completely exhausted.

In the second half of trading, however, the market eventually reached a balance and the total index ended its work with a growth of about 5 thousand units. The return of buyers helped the flagship show Glass Hall regain the 2.3 million it lost on Sunday.

The behavior of the market and traders’ indifference to the quarterly and annual reports of the companies, which were thought to be more effective on the flow of demand, show that the capital market needs more time to overcome the negative shocks of the sharp correction of the past weeks.

On the other hand, the equal weight index reached 764 thousand 56 units with an increase of 0.41 percent.

The stock market under the magnifying glass of statistics and figures

The board of the Tehran Stock Exchange shows the volume of transactions on Sunday at 17.200 billion and the value of transactions at 9.690 billion tomans. The low value of stock exchange transactions shows that the stock market is currently in absolute uncertainty.

Also, the stock market witnessed the outflow of real money amounting to 115 billion tomans. Although the outflow of real money has improved, the capital market is still not in the process of forming, and to start an upward and downward movement, transactions need to be recharged.

Monday stock market forecast

Even though the capital market is significantly behind the parallel markets during the last two and a half years, due to the lack of trust in the capital market as a result of third-party managements, the market is short-term. There are few investors who invest in the stock market for several years even in the current situation when the value of the stock market is obvious to everyone. Of course, in the long term, the efficiency of the capital market has always been higher than markets such as currency, property, and cars.

In such a situation, a small instability in the market creates a supply storm and causes the market to show weakness in returning to its correction process in a situation where none of the economic factors have changed.

Of course, it should be kept in mind, according to the technical experts of the capital market, the existence of an intermediate wave in the upward trends is beneficial for the health of the long-term trend of the market, and with the exchange of shares and the entry of new shareholders, the next upward wave will be more stable.

Finally, with the total index turning from negative to positive, it seems that there will be no drastic price correction and the stocks have reached their equilibrium prices. In this situation, there will be two scenarios in front of the market. The first case is charging the demand side with the entry of big money into the market, in which case we will soon return to the previous upward trend.

In the second scenario, which is more likely, a time correction in the same limits and the exit of the shareholders who took their gain from the previous rising wave, and the simultaneous entry of those market groups that remained from the previous rising wave. In this case, one should wait for an increase in the value of transactions as an indicator of the end of the correction process.