Forecasting the stock market tomorrow / What are the factors affecting the stock market?
According to Tejarat News, Exchange It was bullish today and the overall index remained at the 1.5 million channel. Experts believe that the stock market is on the rise, but the status of the factors influencing the market must also be determined.
Saeed Amirshahkarami, a capital market expert, says in an interview with Tejarat News: With the arrival of liquidity and the removal of ambiguities Exchange In the long run, it will have an upward trend.
He continues: In today’s trading process, the indicators became positive again. The overall index grew by more than two thousand units, 0.16 percent growth. The homogeneity index also recorded a growth of 0.3 percent. On the other hand, the volume of retail transactions Exchange It was more than five thousand billion tomans, which is still above the number of five thousand billion tomans, which indicates a balanced market conditions.
Shahkarami explains: “In today’s trading process, we have not seen significant growth in large groups, and it seems that market participants have decided to make a profit by trading in small market stocks.” In the case of corporate stocks, the future conditions can not be predicted and analyzed due to the ambiguities created in their profit-making process, especially in the refining, petrochemical and base metals groups.
Uncertainty of commodities in the stock market
“There is a possibility of lifting quarantine restrictions in China,” he said. Tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue. For commodity prices, no downward trend can be expected. On the other hand, due to internal factors and power and gas ambiguities and rising feed rates, it is not possible to have a clear vision of the commodity industry. Of course, there are rumors about feed discounts for the refining and petrochemical industries. At present, food prices are highly dependent on world prices, and in practice, the government, with this policy, transfers the increase in world prices to domestic producers and consumers. Now if this pricing changes and domestic sales Exchange Commodities become an influential factor in determining feed prices, we will see fundamental changes in the profitability of related industries.
Finally, Shahkarami says: “In any case, it seems that the chances for big stocks are low until the ambiguities are resolved.” As a result, the market is expected to have a balanced trend in the next few days, and for now we will not hear of good growth in instrument makers. Therefore, the market needs two important pillars to start a good growth: first, good news about big industries and clearing up ambiguities, and second, the arrival of new liquidity to create mobility in the stock market.