Government profit and loss in the case of fuel system disruption / After the cyber attack, how much free gasoline did the government sell?

According to the economic correspondent of Fars News Agency, on Tuesday, November 25, at 11:00 AM, the enemy’s cyber attack on the country’s smart fuel system disrupted the supply of gasoline to cars for a while. Provided.

Simultaneously with the offline activation, the National Company for Refining and Distribution of Petroleum Products started to connect the gas stations to the intelligent fuel system and supply quota gasoline in the stations, but in any case, the nationwide connection of all fuel stations to the system took about a week. They connected smartly.

* Did the enemy’s cyber attack benefit the main government?

As a result, in a week when the fuel system was disrupted and it was not possible to supply quota gasoline in all stations of the country, the government’s revenue from selling gasoline at free rates increased, which caused some media outlets to focus on this issue. Introduce the government as the beneficiary of this affair and claim that the government even intends to cover its budget deficit in this way.

The Minister of Oil, Javad Oji, announced the granting of a compensatory quota for gasoline for cars, which was 10 liters for private cars, 5 liters for motorcycles and different figures for other vehicles.

Now a fundamental question arises, in the case of disruption of the intelligent fuel system, has the government as a whole benefited or lost? Because of the sale of free gasoline during the disruption, government revenue has increased, but with the granting of a compensatory quota, government revenue has decreased.

In this report, we calculate the government’s profit and loss in the case of a hacker attack on the intelligent fuel system.

* In the case of the cyber attack, how much more free gasoline did the government sell to the people?

First, we go to the government’s profit from increasing the sale of gasoline at a free rate during the period of gasoline disruption. The average daily consumption of gasoline in the country is 80 million liters, of which 60% is the share of quota gasoline (1500 Tomans) and 40% is the share of free gasoline. 3000 Tomans). That is, on average, out of 80 million liters of daily gasoline consumption, 48 million liters are sold as quota gasoline and 32 million liters are sold as free gasoline.

On the other hand, the numbers and figures related to the stations that are connected to the fuel system on different days of the 7 days of crisis are also given in Table 1; In this table, it is also calculated that according to the percentage of stations that are connected to the intelligent fuel system on different days, how much of the share of quota gasoline has been shifted to free gasoline on a daily basis.

Table 1- Quantity of gasoline shifted quotas to free gasoline in times of crisis

Regarding the numbers related to the last two columns of Table 1, it should be noted that due to the percentage of connection of fuel stations with the intelligent system at the end of the day, it was possible to supply quota gasoline in each row the next day. With this explanation, the total amount of quota gasoline shifted to free gasoline during the disruption period was about 245.4 million liters.

In other words, the government has sold as much as 245.4 million liters of free gasoline during the period of disruption of the intelligent fuel system.

* How did the government’s revenue from the disruption of the fuel system become “zero”?

Now, this figure should be compared with the total compensatory quota of the government to cars.We have considered a total of 258 million liters of gasoline compensation quota, and the fuel compensation quota is based on the classification of cars.».

He continued: “For 27 million 251 thousand 605 active car cards in the country, a total of 258 million liters of compensation quota has been considered for various uses, for example, for public rides, 40 liters, taxis, 40 liters, dual-fuel The general quota of 30 liters, 40 liters for intercity and 60 liters for van taxis will be paid.

As a result, in the case of the intelligent fuel system disruption, the government sold more free gasoline at 245.4 million liters and set a quota of 258 million liters more gasoline for the people. that’s mean The government has not received any revenue from the cyber attack on the country’s fuel system, and there are no rumors about the increase in government revenue from the recent incident.

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