Has the promise of a 50% increase in car production been fulfilled?/ Minister’s solution to reduce car prices

According to Tejarat News, after other options considered by this ministry to reduce the price car It is possible to mention the import of economic cars to the country, whose regulations were announced a few days ago.

Quoted from Online economyAccording to the statistics of the Ministry of Security, about 950,000 cars and vans were produced last year. According to the objectives set by the Ministry of Safety, about 1,500,000 to 1,600,000 vehicles will be produced and sold in the country this year.

According to the car import regulations and the price ceiling and foreign exchange sources considered, it seems that in the best case, we can witness the arrival of about 70,000 cars in the country. In other words, considering the price ceiling of 20,000 euros and also the ceiling of 1 billion euros for foreign currency resources for car imports, if we consider the average price of imported cars around 15,000 euros, we will reach a figure of around 65,000 to 70,000 cars. Of course, in the meantime, there are serious criticisms of the car import regulations and even some experts do not consider it practical to import cars with the current regulations. Nevertheless, assuming the implementation of this regulation, many experts believe that due to the delay, it does not seem that the import program will be fully realized this year.

Car production in 1399 and 1400

After import car, perhaps the most important factor in the increase in the supply of cars is the growth of domestic car manufacturers. As it has been said, the circulation of production of two major car manufacturers of the country is going to reach about one million and 400 thousand units. Now, looking at the published production statistics of these car manufacturers, i.e. Iran Khodro, Saipa, as well as Pars Khodro and Zamiad in the Kodal system, we will examine the issue of how much of the production goal of one million and 400 thousand vehicles has been achieved in the first 5 months of the year. Is.

According to the reports published in the Kodal system, the total production of these car manufacturers last year was about 905,000 units, which shows a decrease of about 4% compared to 2019. Iran Khodro recorded the largest drop in production circulation last year with a decrease of more than 6%, and Zamiad experienced the largest increase in production among the four companies with a growth of 5.8%.

In the first 5 months of the year, Zamiyad has a record among automobile companies with a production growth of more than 30%. Iran car During this period, it has recorded a growth of more than 24% in production. Pars Khodro has also faced a 12.8% increase in production. Sapia, however, has faced a 2.8% drop in production. In general, in the first 5 months of this year, these 4 companies recorded the production of about 406,000 devices, which shows an increase of more than 13% compared to the same period last year.

Did the promises of the ministry of silence reach the target?

According to the target of 1 million 400 thousand units desired by the Ministry of Security, the total production of domestic automobile companies in the first 5 months of the year should have been around 585 thousand units. In other words, only 70% of the production target has been achieved in the first 5 months of this year.

Another point is that if the current trend continues, the production of these car manufacturers this year will reach less than one million vehicles and will increase by 7.6% compared to last year, which is significantly different from the targeting of the Ministry of Security.

Published statistics show that the average monthly production of automobile manufacturers in the first 5 months of this year was about 81 thousand vehicles. Therefore, in order to achieve the production target of 1,400,000 units, the average monthly production of these car manufacturers must increase to more than 142,000 units in the next seven months of the year, and this means a 75% increase in the average monthly production in the remaining 7 months compared to the first 5 months. It is this year. A figure that seems far from expected due to the production process and the problems of car manufacturers.