How does Israel want to attack Iran?
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For some time now, the Israelis have been waging a propaganda blackmail to somehow side with the United States to pressure Iran to return to the Vienna talks without concessions.
All experts, even the American and Israeli ones, agree that Borjam is more in Israel’s favor than in Iran’s favor, because it is very difficult, if not impossible, to do so despite Borjam and the inspections imposed on Iran before the inspectors. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) realizes that it can achieve an atomic bomb.
The Israelis, on the other hand, are convinced that the Americans have no intention of lifting sanctions on Iran, and that is why both sanctions and inspections remain in place.
Ignore Israel’s excuses for opposing Burjam, all these were and will be endless excuses of Israel and the United States.
Whatever Iran does, the United States will continue to make excuses for not fulfilling its obligations.
This has been proven by history.
Today, the United States is somehow addicted to sanctions, and the general policy of the United States is based on sanctions.
After World War II, the United States tried various means to dominate other countries, including financial incentives or even military strikes. Now that all American tools to impose their demands on others have failed, sanctions have been imposed.
As we see, the Americans are imposing sanctions not only on Iran but also on any country in the world that refuses to obey the Americans.
Of course, this will also lead to the fact that the countries sanctioned by the United States will soon form a power bloc and the US sanctions will practically return to itself.
In any case, the fact that the Israelis are announcing that they have allocated funds to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities is more of a propaganda act than a logical one, because if they had really decided to do so, they would certainly have tried to take advantage of the surprise. They never officially declared such a thing, which is against all international laws and regulations.
Of course, perhaps they also wanted to tell the world that they consider themselves above all international laws and regulations.
After all, the Israeli threat to the Iranian nation cannot be ignored, and here I emphasize the Iranian nation, because any Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities could create a catastrophe.
Given the conditions of Iran’s nuclear program and the spread of the facility in the area of more than 1.64 million square kilometers, and that this facility is built in the heart of the mountains or deserts that are considered a natural barrier to attack, the only way for the Israelis this Is to launch a full-blown air strike that strikes dozens of bombers simultaneously.
That is, the attack cannot be like the attack on the Iraqi nuclear facility in Tammuz, or the Libyan nuclear facility, or the Sudan weapons factory, and the Syrian nuclear facility, or …
Attacks previously carried out by the Israelis with a handful of aircraft.
Here they need large trench bombs, each of which weighs about 2.5 tons, according to military analysts, and naturally the bombers cannot use the extra fuel tank to carry these bombs.
This means that in order to carry out such an operation, they need to transfer their aircraft to one of Iran’s neighboring countries and carry out the operation from there, or eventually their aircraft will refuel from the air.
This refueling must also be done in one of the neighboring countries.
In that case, virtually any country that provides such conditions for the Israelis, whether at the airport or in the air, knows full well that it is involved in attacking Iran under international law, and Iran will certainly respond to that country, and certainly everyone. It will destroy that country’s infrastructure, even if it thinks it has the most advanced defense weapons.
Regarding the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf that have relations with Israel, such as Bahrain and the UAE, there are several reasons that they themselves are not very willing to cooperate with Israel in this regard, and perhaps the most important of these factors is that if the Bushehr nuclear facility is If the Israelis attack, these countries themselves are in danger of nuclear radiation.
Now the discussion of Iran’s reaction aside.
Other candidates are countries such as Iraq, Turkey and Azerbaijan.
In Iraq, some believe that the Americans may hand over their bases, such as Ain al-Assad or Tunf on the Syrian border, to the Israelis to carry out such an adventure, which, of course, they are well aware of. What is the range, and if Israeli planes want to enter these bases, the Iranians will definitely be informed and destroy them before the flight.
It seems that today there is a debate that the Israelis used the Al-Tanf base to attack some resistance groups in Syria, and they also targeted this base and destroyed the Israeli planes on the spot, of course, as usual, the Americans and the Israelis. They do not raise their voices and do not release information that discredits them, just as Trump claimed when no American forces were harmed at the Ain al-Assad base, which was attacked by Iran, but it turned out later that hundreds of American soldiers They were injured, killed and wounded, and the Americans announced their names in installments under various pretexts.
Regarding Turkey, despite the very close relations between FIMA between the Turkish and Israeli armies and their intelligence services, which they say are well-known, the Turks are unlikely to be willing to cooperate, at least in this regard, with the Israelis. In many previous cases, the Turks did not allow the Americans to use the Angerlic base against the goals of Iran and its allies in the region.
It remains to be seen whether Azerbaijan will be willing to enter into an adventure, which, of course, the Iranians have given the necessary ultimatums to, and the Azerbaijanis themselves are well aware of if such permission is given to the Israelis. Let them open Iran’s hand to attack Azerbaijan, and at least Iran will return Azerbaijan to us before the Soviet era.
It would be good if the Israelis wanted to use American ships or American bases in the Indian Ocean, which of course the Americans themselves know very well that the Iranians also monitor these bases and aircraft carriers, and if To use them to attack Iran, Iran also finds an excuse to target them, and then it seems unlikely that Mr. Biden’s administration will be able to answer to the American people and collect American casualties, and Biden and his team must say goodbye. Start early with the White House.
As we approach the midterm elections to the US Congress, entering into such an adventure could rob Democrats of the opportunity to control Congress.
Of course, Saudi Arabia cannot be ignored in this process, but the Saudis themselves know very well that they are more vulnerable than others, and these days they are trying to reduce the tension in their relations with Iran instead of increasing the tension with Iran. .
All this aside, even if all conditions are right and the Israelis are able to plan to attack the facility with other countries in the region, there is no guarantee that these aircraft will be able to do their job if they enter Iranian airspace and be targeted by Iranian air defenses. And given that the Iranians have deployed hundreds of thousands of missiles ready to launch against Israel in the region, even if a few Israeli planes were able to survive the battle, it seems unlikely it will be time to return. They should come because before their return, Iranian missiles have definitely destroyed all of Israel’s strategic infrastructure.
Under these circumstances, it can be said that one and a half billion, which does not allocate any fifteen billion dollars, can not destroy Iran’s nuclear program, and it seems that their only goal is to increase the psychological pressure on Iran so that the Americans and Europeans Come forward and say, for example, that if you do not negotiate with us, the Israelis will attack you.
The story itself shows how much of a challenge Iran’s nuclear program has become for them these days, and the Israelis are blaming Trump for what he did and leaving the UN Security Council.
Today, they are quite sure that if the Americans do not fulfill their commitments to the IAEA as soon as possible and the IAEA does not return to its previous path, they will soon reach a situation where Iran has provided all its needs to produce several nuclear bombs and only He did not build the bomb and then, as the famous saying goes, the work will be over and the military threat will not be effective and they will be forced to enter into talks with Iran in very weak conditions.
The points made in this article are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Sputnik.