Should we buy a car before Eid?

According to the online economy report, citing Hamshahri, we have discussed with Sadraei about the state of the car market until the end of this year, as well as the forecast of car prices in 1403.

To buy or not to buy?

Babak Sadraei, an expert on the car market, answered the question whether it is better for buyers to buy a car by the end of this year or to wait for the price to drop in the future. He said: In my opinion, considering the economic conditions, anyone who buys a car these days will definitely not be a loser. Was.

Factors affecting car price trends

Sadrai in response to the question whether the car will become more expensive? He said: In order to examine the car market and talk about its future, one should first pay attention to macro factors. He continued: One of the important factors affecting the car market is the economic and political conditions of the country, the price of the dollar and the trend of the inflation rate. All these are directly related to the car price trend.

Car market stagnation until the end of this year?

Sadraei, predicting the trend of the car market until the end of this year, emphasized: Currently, the car market does not have the fluctuations of previous years and is in recession. It seems that this situation will continue until the end of the year, that is, there will be no special change in the market. He continued: The event that can transform the car market by the end of this year and affect the car price is import, which means that a large number of foreign cars enter the country.

Imports affect the price of what cars?

Babak Sadraei in response to the question that how will the import of cars reduce the price of cars in the market? First, he explained: Of course, in my opinion, considering the current trend and issues behind the car import curtain, this is unlikely to happen this year. But if a number of cars are imported, it can affect the market. At the same time, he said: if imports are freed in any way and a number of cars are imported into Iran and delivered to customers, it will have a greater effect on the price of foreign second-hand cars.

The condition of the foreign used car market

While criticizing the false prices of second-hand foreign cars in Iran, this car market expert said: Due to the limited supply, the prices of second-hand foreign cars of 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 models, which are not very new, have increased strangely, so that everywhere in the world When they hear these prices, they think you are lying! But if the import is done, maybe the price of these cars will drop, but it will not affect the price of domestic cars and even assembled cars that much.

Car market forecast in 1403

Babak Sadraei, predicting the trend of car prices in the next year, said: What can be predicted in the current situation is that according to the head of the program organization, next year we have inflation of about 40%. As a result, I don’t think there is much doubt about the car’s price increase next year.

This car market expert explained: In my opinion, according to the existing estimates of the inflation trend and the dollar rate, we will inevitably see an increase in car prices next year. Please note that the prices in the car market have remained stable for almost a year and have not fluctuated much, so it is possible that the prices will increase a bit in the next year, however, how much this amount can be depends on many factors and these factors are severe and Weakness of car price fluctuation will be effective.

Referring to the influence of economic factors and the government’s role in controlling inflation, this car market expert said: despite the forecast of 40% inflation for 1403, the control of car prices in the market depends on a number of internal factors such as; It depends on the amount of production and the equality of supply and demand and the issue of car imports. It seems that if the car import is done, it can break the prices and at least prevent the price growth compared to the inflation that we are witnessing.

The future of the car market from camera production and import

Babak Sadraei explained: If we want to judge the trend of the car market in the next year, we must say that in the production sector we have almost managed to balance the supply with the demand; That is, now when we look at the amount of car supply in the integrated car sales system, we have almost reached the level of normality in this field, but in the import sector, which was being manipulated a lot, no serious and important measures have been taken so far that can have an impact.

Referring to the role of foreign car imports on the car market, this car market expert said: In my opinion, one of the influencing factors that can control car prices next year is the import of foreign cars, and the market situation depends on what happens next year. How many cars will be produced? Second, it should be seen how many cars the government will allow to import due to the currency restrictions.

Referring to the foreign exchange obstacles on the road to car production in Iran, Sadraei said: If the foreign exchange obstacles are not removed next year, which unfortunately are already being heard, the production may decrease and the events of last year (1401) will happen again and the demand will increase. And see the car price increase again.