The car lottery opened up everyone to speculation / car lottery and 100% profit for the lucky ones
According to the car service of Economy Online, the car lottery, which has now turned into a big lottery, was launched in 2019 after a significant decrease in the production of car manufacturers and at the same time as the demand increased due to the high price difference between the factory and the market, and car manufacturers are among the car applicants. They held a lottery. Over time, the Ministry of Security decided to consider restrictions on these lotteries to reduce speculative demand, which did not work either.
After about two years, i.e. in the years 1399 and 1400, these lotteries were held and the new government took office, the minister of the 13th government promised to remove Car lottery and different dates were proposed in this regard. Finally, in addition to all the promises made regarding the removal of the lottery, in May of this year, the Ministry of Privacy announced the formation of a new system called the Integrated Car Allocation System.
formation Integrated system According to the Ministry of Security, there have been 3 stages of car sales in which until today, it is to increase the supervision of lotteries, and when the balance between supply and demand is reached, all lotteries will be held in this system. But with the holding of 3 stages of lotteries in this system, it does not seem that soon we will be able to witness the equality of supply and demand, especially in the Iran Khodro product group.
The thing that almost all the experts consider to be the scourge of the country’s car industry and market these days, and until this behavior is corrected by the government, it cannot be expected that this system or any other even correct policies can heal the pain of the car market these days, the price It is a command. A policy that by creating a sharp price difference between the market and the factory and intensifying the speculative demand, causes strange demands to be registered in the lotteries. This demand is so high that in the recent lottery of the ministry of privacy, there was only one car for every 675 people on average!
Of course, it should be emphasized that mandatory pricing is not the only problem these days in the country’s automobile industry; Rather, it can be said that the automobile industry is a manifestation of several decades of government interference. Creating a monopoly under the pretext of supporting national production, faulty management structure, low productivity and old technology of production and production line, etc. is only a part of the results of a state economy.
But it was supposed to Car lottery By cutting off the hands of the dealers, he should bring the car to the end consumer and reduce the inflammation of the car market and reduce the price difference between the market and the factory, but the statistics show that the policymaker has not achieved any of his goals.
The hands of the brokers were not stopped, we all opened up!
With the premise that according to the officials, the actual demand for cars in the country is about 1.5 million vehicles annually, let’s first take a look at the number of applicants in the stages of the car lottery.
Before creating Integrated system, the car manufacturers held their sales programs separately. From June 1399 to May 1401, 38 stages Immediate sale of Iran Khodro held; In the first stage, 15,000 cars were released and more than 4,360,000 applicants registered. In the 38th stage, 20,000 vehicles were sold and more than 6,200,000 people registered. Statistics that show that during this period not only the speculative demand did not decrease, but its number also increased.
Car sales statistics in Integrated system also shows similar results; In the first stage, 4 million and 175 thousand people competed for 177 thousand vehicles (with the difference that this amount of supply was related to all car manufacturers) and the number of applicants reached 6 million and 685 thousand in the third stage.
in fact Car lottery He did not cut off the hands of the dealers from the car market, nor did he bring the car to the end consumer, but opened everyone to speculation!
Did the price difference between the factory market and the free market decrease?
Politicians always considered the market price to be unrealistic and caused by market emotions and believed that the real price of the car is the same as the approved price, although this idea seems to be wrong, but could the car lottery reduce this price gap?
Peugeot 206 type 2 price which at the beginning of 2019 was about 98 million tomans in the market, at the same time it cost 60 million tomans in the factory and these numbers showed that in 2019 Peugeot 206 Type 2 was sold in the market 63% higher than the factory price. you will arrive. Now, after two and a half years, the factory price of this car is about 150 million tomans, but it is sold in the open market, about 300 million tomans, and this means that the price difference is 2 times between the factory price and the market price of Peugeot 206 Type 2.
PARS Peugeot which is another popular car of Iran Khodro. The approved price of this car in April 2019 was about 85 million tomans and it was about 130 million in the open market. In other words, Peugeot Pars had a price difference of about 53% between the factory and the market. In September of this year, while the market price of this car has reached 370 million tomans, its factory price is about 176 million tomans; In other words, the price difference between the factory and the free market of Peugeot Pars has reached more than 2 times.
A look at these numbers can be a clear reason for the increase in demand in the Iran Khodro lottery. The difference in price has turned even the real car buyers into speculators and it is certain that everyone is tempted to get 100% profit.
So it seems that the car lottery was a mistake; A mistake that continues. Although the officials of the Ministry of Security have said that by the end of this year, the car lottery for all products will end, but it seems that this problem will continue as long as there is the thought of government intervention in the economy and we see mandated pricing.