What is a good portfolio for the year 1400? / The total index reaches 1.6 million units?

According to Tejarat News, Peyman Haddadi, a stock market expert, said: “The most important stock market variables until the end of the year are the budget and Borjam.” The budget bill has largely ended stock market concerns with the passage of 10 paragraphs. It remains to be seen whether MPs will approve the bill in the same way. The issue of Borjam is another important variable for forecasting the stock market in the medium term.

He continued: “If the negotiation process remains the same until the end of the year, the budget bill is approved in the same way and we do not have significant changes, the exchange rate will fluctuate between 29,000 and 32,000 tomans by the end of the year.” We will see changes based on changes in the free exchange rate in the capital market. But along with this issue, the Nima rate will reduce its distance from the free currency by the end of the year. Export-oriented industries such as petrochemicals, base metals, minerals, etc. will benefit.

We have to wait for China and America

Haddadi said changes in world prices would also affect the capital market. With the start of 2022 and the end of the Chinese Eid holiday, it remains to be seen what changes will be made to US and Chinese fiscal policies. It remains to be seen whether interest rates will change. The decisions made by the central banks of the two countries will affect changes in world prices and the Iranian stock market.

The stock market expert said: “If we want to have a portfolio that has optimal management in terms of return and risk management, a portfolio that includes 75% of stocks and 25% of fixed income securities and gold can be a good portfolio.” Half of the shares will go to base metals and half to banks, cars, insurance, transportation, some agricultural and food components.

“It is not very logical to forecast the stock market for a season, because any of the variables affecting the stock market can change,” he said. But it seems that the overall stock market index by the end of the year can see the range of 1.6 million units and end the year 1400 with a positive return.

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