bourseEconomical

Will the stock market be profitable in 1401?


According to Tejarat News, Saturday the total index Exchange At the beginning of trading, it fell by 7,530 units to the level of 1,340,000 units. On Wednesday, the index ended its work in the last week of March with a growth of 2,025 units, standing on the level of 1,339,000 units. Finally, the overall index experienced a growth of 0.6 percent.

Which stock industries are growing?

“Next year, the stock market will have a very upward and very gentle trend,” said Ibrahim Samawi, a capital market expert who predicts trading next year. We will also see different seasons of liquidity turnover between industries.

Regarding the market interval in 1401, Samawi states: The stock market seems to have the highest return next year. Given that parallel markets have grown in the last 19 months and the capital market has declined, this scenario is likely to shift slightly.

“Several factors affect the stock market situation over the next year,” he explains. The first is the budget debate. According to estimates on paper, we have a budget deficit of about 450 thousand billion tomans, which seems to reach a real budget deficit of up to 600 thousand billion tomans.

“Even if we can sell oil well, we will still have inflation, and there are inflation expectations,” he said. Certainly, the outcome of the Barjam negotiations can increase or decrease inflation expectations.

Samawi states: The next factor is related to the Borjam agreements. If we reach a fruitful agreement, many listed companies, especially commodity-based ones, will face lower product sales rates. But the cost goes down, so the profitability of these companies increases.

“On the other hand, if no agreement is reached, we can still expect higher inflation expectations, higher dollar rates and higher sales of commodity-based companies,” he said.

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