Biden in the Vienna deadlock / the end of the game with all the cards on the table – Mehr News Agency | Iran and world’s news
Mehr News Agency – International Group: The seventh round of Vienna talks, after a five-month and nine-day break, finally began this afternoon, Monday, December 29th; The pause was mainly due to the transfer of power as a result of the Iranian presidential election, but Washington and its European partners saw it in their interest to make it appear deliberate.
Thus, in the US balance sheet, this “five-month break” was considered the equivalent of “Washington’s unilateral withdrawal from the UN Security Council” to reduce the weight of US debt, and the claim that says “this time we are eager but Iran will not step forward. »; Do not find a buyer.
The main line of the United States and the European Troika, united under the title “Transatlantic Partnership” in the post-Trump era; In the forthcoming negotiations between Iran and the P5 + 1, this will be: that the Iranian side has unreasonable demands; He responds negatively to (so-called) proposals and is not as eager to implement Borjam as the United States.
Iran’s demands are based on the country’s previous experiences and the claims of the current US administration. The experience that Washington once had of an agreement that had the seal of the international community; It came out, so common sense dictates that this time Iran wants a “guarantee”. On the other hand, unless Biden sees himself as a Democrat different from Republican Trump and attributes all his past mistakes to him; So what is stopping him from “lifting” the sanctions imposed by his predecessor?
The Washington administration’s answer to this question is definitely the “American domestic law” and the deterrent power of the “Senate”, which in 2015 did not accept the UN Security Council in the form of a “treaty” that would have nullified Trump’s spell.
Interim agreement; Attractive but fake
But Biden is so afraid of the Senate power; Why is it supposed to be narrated as reported by “France Press” or “Politico”; To offer a “temporary agreement” to make Washington the uninvited guest of the Vienna talks? Such a proposal by Senate firefighters Republicans and even hardline Democrats such as Bob Menendez, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, could be seen as a backlash against Tehran and spark domestic criticism of the White House.
The main line of the United States and the European Troika in the seventh round is to change the position of the accused and the plaintiff in order to reach a consensus against Iran.
This proposal is more because the United States knows that Iran will not be happy with it because Tehran is not going to agree to the minimum. On the other hand, this proposal is not very generous and apparently calls for the minimal lifting of restrictions in exchange for the cessation of the most sensitive parts of Iran’s nuclear activities. For example, Iran will enjoy an increase in oil sales in exchange for stopping 60% enrichment!
In fact, this interim agreement is a shortcut to the United States taking the time to escape unrelated issues such as Iran’s missile program and regional activities. But why, despite the dissatisfaction of the American Republicans on the one hand and the reluctance of Iran on the other, has the word of making such an offer come to the fore?
The answer is obvious; Because the United States continues to show the line of indebtedness and disinterest in Iran, seeking “maximum pretense.” Pretending to be what? That I did my best and Iran was not satisfied. What to do? In order to tell the parties of Borjam that the intention is on the part of Iran.
Yes, Biden seeks to reverse the true narrative of the “unilateral withdrawal of the United States from the UN Security Council” to the false narrative of “Iran’s unwillingness to implement the initial agreement” in order to replace the plaintiff and the accused and to consolidate pressure on Tehran. Comment.
In this way, the Europeans are largely with him. But the question is, can it satisfy China and Russia?
Playing with options or wasting time in a vicious circle?
Almost from October onwards, the phrase “all options are on the table” entered the Washington literature in opposition to Tehran. Let’s not forget that right now, the situation is different from 2015, and the US relationship, especially with China, is very tense. The Chinese delegation in Vienna on Friday criticized the US dual stance, saying, “Why do the US and Britain say that Iran can not produce 3.7% enriched uranium, while on the other hand openly and directly a few tons of enriched uranium? “Over 90% will be shipped to Australia.” With such an argument, Biden has a long way to go to convince Beijing to cooperate with its anti-Iranian stance.
But if the United States fails to reach an agreement with Iran to return to the UN Security Council, and on the other hand, is deprived of the support of China and Russia; What tricks will he resort to?
Almost from October onwards, the phrase “all options are on the table” entered the Washington literature in opposition to Tehran, with US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken claiming. Make no mistake; There is no military option at all. Finally, they do not return to Barjam at the moment, but in the meantime, they resort to unpleasant actions.
For example, Robert Mali, the US envoy to Iran, told NPR on Saturday: “If we do not reach an agreement and if Iran is not ready, they (Israel) have asked us to work closely with each other. Of course, this is also what we want.
Yes, US retaliation could be partly in line with the model proposed by Dennis Ross, a former Washington foreign policy adviser, including giving the green light to the Zionist regime to carry out sabotage, imposing more economic sanctions to tighten livelihoods, and even provoking There is unrest inside Iran – the old tools that Iran is used to struggling with.
On the other hand, the United States, while playing with leverage, keeps the narrow path of diplomacy open because it knows that this is the only way out of this vicious circle. If boasting was to be believed; Iran’s stubborn stance towards the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency could have led to a resolution against Iran in the Board of Governors, which it did not. This means that the United States is at a dead end.
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