Democratic Party and Nightmare Defeat in US midterm elections

According to IRNA on Wednesday, the Hill website wrote: “These problems with the decline of Biden’s popularity and the historical pattern governing the United States, in which the incumbent presidential party routinely loses its seats in the first midterm congressional elections in its first term.” It has become more complicated.

Some Democrats believe change is still possible and can at least be mitigated, but others have sounded the alarm without revealing their names.

Democrats know that bad results in the midterm congressional elections are a bitter test for them. The party did poorly in the first midterm elections of former Democratic presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. In 1994, when Clinton was in the White House, she lost 54% of the seats in the US House of Representatives in the midterm congressional elections in those years, and in 2010, she lost 63 seats during the Obama presidency.

Losing seats in Congress is now more difficult. In Washington, almost no one expects them to win a majority in the US House of Representatives. A comparative example of this was in 1982, when inflation was as high as it is now in the United States, where Republicans lost 26 seats in the House during Reagan’s presidency. Biden’s party vulnerability is obvious. New data released on Tuesday show that inflation has reached 8.5 percent, the highest figure since 1981.

Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin issued a statement regretting that inflation was “out of control” and complaining that the Biden administration and the US Federal Reserve had not acted quickly enough.

On immigration, the Department of Homeland Security has said it is preparing for an influx of 18,000 immigrants a day later this year. Set aside “Title 42”.

The move by former President Donald Trump’s administration to use the title has sparked controversy. This title has been used to prevent the entry of immigrants, including asylum seekers, during the Corona epidemic. Title 42 is a public health and welfare law passed in 1944 that allows the American general surgeon, who was later transferred to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, to determine whether a contagious disease in a foreign country poses a serious risk of outbreak. Does it bring a foreign country or not.

The cancellation of the title by the Biden administration has provoked opposition even from some Democratic senators, and the citation is said to cover up anti-immigration policies.

Even Biden’s policies in the Ukraine war have failed to boost his popularity, and a war of attrition could cause economic problems for the American people, especially in the areas of rising food and gasoline prices.

If all this is not enough to weaken the position of the Democrats, Covid-19 has already killed one million Americans, caused a great deal of economic and psychological damage, and changed normal life. The situation is not over yet, as Philadelphia announced on Monday that it will once again use the mask order indoors due to the increase in cases.

Even Democrats who believe their party does not face an apocalyptic scenario acknowledge that a combination of these factors is causing opposition winds to blow.

“We’re in a very turbulent moment right now,” said Joel Payne, a Democratic strategist. There is Kovid-19, only a year has passed since Afghanistan, now there is a war in Ukraine, and depending on who you are, the economy is up or down. This is the general instability that overwhelmed Trump just 18 or 20 months ago, and now Biden’s problem is challenging him.

Despite what Biden claims to have done, this has not alleviated the dissatisfaction of the American people, and data from the FiveTear Center, which follows the polls, shows that Biden’s popularity is on average 42.2%.

Many Democrats complain that their party’s message lacks the necessary transparency and fails to relate to the realities of people’s lives. They are also concerned about the prolongation of congressional controversy over legislation later this year, which has reduced their party’s chances of winning the midterm congressional elections.

The US midterm elections are scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022, equal to 17 Aban 1401, in which all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 34 out of 100 seats in the Senate will be contested.

“Political change is always possible, inflation may decline in the coming months, Putin may withdraw from the Ukraine war, he may not expect an increase in immigrants this summer, but now the picture is clear,” Hill concluded. There is gloom and it gets darker for Democrats.