Russian analyst: Iran has reduced the regional influence of America and Israel

According to Fars International News Agency, Russian political analyst “Taimur Fomenko” published a note to the Americans and warned Americans that Tehran now has all the cards and the situation for Washington is “lose-lose”.

This analyst at the beginning of his note on the network “RashatudiHe pointed to former US President Donald Trump’s decision to unilaterally and illegally withdraw from the JCPOA and wrote: “The decision to cancel this agreement was completely influenced by the neoconservative members of his cabinet, including National Security Advisor John Bolton and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.” .

According to Fomenko, the neoconservatives of Trump’s cabinet not only sought to hit Barack Obama’s legacy, but also argued that imposing unilateral crippling sanctions on Tehran, if it could not topple the (Islamic Republic of Iran) regime altogether, could destroy the country. draw the negotiation table”.

He continued: “In this way, a five-year campaign of brutal pressure against Iran began, which sought to destroy the country’s economy and tried to prevent third-party countries from doing business with Iran, but their initiative did not go according to plan.”

The Russian expert believes: “The world has changed. Washington’s apparent disregard for international law intensified the rise of de-dollarization. The world changes that happened later, including the Covid-19 pandemic, the competition of the United States with China and the war in Ukraine, gave Tehran a strategic space and leverage that it did not have before.

According to Fomenko, “Now Iran has significantly increased its uranium enrichment, continues to build its drones and missile capabilities, has more advanced military relations with Russia, and thanks to Beijing, has managed to improve its relations with its main regional rival, Saudi Arabia. Normalize. In carrying out the same process, Iran has reduced the regional influence of the United States and its partner Israel.

According to him, “American foreign policy towards Iran has been centered around exploiting regional tensions in order to justify its security presence, but it seems that” Iran has started to overcome the American campaign.

“This has raised alarm bells in Washington,” said Timur Fomenko. The United States has been desperate to strengthen ties with Saudi Arabia, but has reportedly intervened in secret talks with Tehran not to revive the JCPOA but to keep it from further enriching uranium and keeping it off the path to nuclearization. ; An action which, of course, must be accompanied by the lifting of sanctions.

The analyst continued in his note: “Although the United States, possibly with the support of Israel, has threatened to take undeclared military action if Tehran goes further, it is clear that Iran now holds all the cards and therefore a “fire “Temporary enough” should be spent from the pockets of the United States containment campaign (against Iran).

While the Islamic Republic of Iran has repeatedly declared its opposition to weapons of mass destruction and emphasized the pursuit of peaceful use of the nuclear program, the author of this note made a comparison between Iran and North Korea.

Fomenko wrote: “Due to changing the regional dynamics in its favor, Tehran is unlikely to actually go the path of developing a full-fledged nuclear bomb, because this action provides Washington with opportunities. Unlike a country like North Korea, Iran does not really need nuclear weapons to establish a doctrine of deterrence for the survival of its regime. It is a large country with a population of over 80 million people. While the United States could hypothetically conduct air or missile strikes on key Iranian facilities to stop its nuclear program, what the United States cannot do, especially under the current circumstances, is a full-scale invasion and occupation of the country because It will cost trillions of dollars and there will be no support for this issue.”

According to him, “Iran’s deterrence capability is based on its drone and missile programs, which have increased their capabilities over the years despite US sanctions. This country has recently claimed to have produced hypersonic missiles… In response to the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the commander (Quds Force) of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Tehran has demonstrated its ability to destroy American military bases in its vicinity, and thus has shown What can he do with Israel if the situation deteriorates? These show that Iran is and will continue to be an important regional player regardless of US sanctions.

At the end of his note, Fomenko added: “Iran is winning.” The only question that remains is whether America wants a ceasefire or will continue to pressure Tehran until it breaks. “Even if the result is a deadlock without crossing the nuclear lines (moving towards Iran’s nuclear bomb production), it’s still ultimately a lose-lose situation for Washington as Iran reasserts itself diplomatically.”

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