The effects of the negotiations on the economy are not long-term / the stock market became negative

According to Tejarat News, while the stock market initially had a unit index growth until 1971, it continued to decline. In the middle of the market, the index has dropped to more than 600 units. Kachad, Steel and the stock market have the most negative impact on the overall index. Nouri and Vaghdir recorded the most positive effect on the overall index so far.

Borzoo Haghshenas, a stock market expert, said the capital market has anticipated any possible bad scenarios in the economy and foreign policy. Bad things may happen to the stock market in the future. This market has been in a pure divergence with inflation and other markets for the past 16 months.

He continued: “Many believe that the outcome of the Barjam negotiations will affect the price of the dollar.” I do not deny this, but I believe that these effects are more psychological. Although inflation expectations are falling, the effects are temporary. Regarding the dollar, we are discussing liquidity growth and inflation issues that have their roots elsewhere.

“If the outcome is formed, dollar groups in the stock market may be affected in the short and even medium term,” he said. But in the end, what is true is that the basis for the sale of large groups such as petroleum refineries and steels is the Nima rate, and we are unlikely to fall in this area. These groups show the market in the medium term that their profitability has not been affected. They may even increase their dollar revenue due to a series of openings.

The FATF is more important than the FATF

He added: “Based on experience, when an agreement is reached, other rial groups such as banks and cars will grow.” Given that these groups have already declined, this could be useful in the medium term, along with the stimulus to the rate hike that is apparently to be approved.

“Apart from the fact that in my opinion it is not possible to reach agreements in this government, our economy has already experienced Barjam,” Haqshenas said. In the past, reaching agreements has not done much for the economy. We only saw a decrease in inflation expectations and an improvement in a number of elements. These have little effect in the long run.

“One of the most important issues that has plagued the economy, especially the banking group, is the FATF,” he said. If positive things happen in that area, we will see significant effects on the economy.

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