The free fall of Saudi Arabia in Hodeidah and Ma’rib

Following is a note from the Iran newspaper by Hossein Raviran, a Middle East expert, on November 15: Therefore, the military movements in the axis of “Hodeidah” ​​and the coastal region of the Red Sea are also related to the process of victory in this province. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are seeking to consolidate their forces in order to strengthen their forces in the face of attacks by Ansar al-Islam and the Yemeni National Army.

But in the meantime, to consider this withdrawal as accidental or, according to Saudi officials and its affiliated government, the government of fugitive Yemeni President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, to implement the Stockholm Agreement, is baseless and unacceptable. .

Because in the three years since the agreement was signed, the Saudi coalition and its allies in Yemen have not adhered to it and have even completely violated it. Given that, after all these sabotages, it is not justified to claim that they are implementing this agreement and that their withdrawal is in line with this agreement.

However, the recent military movements in Yemen can be attributed to the weakness of the Saudi coalition and its allies on various fronts in Yemen, although the differences between Saudi Arabia and the UAE and their forces on the battlefield are not ineffective in strengthening this situation.

The UAE government is strongly opposed to the Reform Party, which’s forces are the mainstay of the Saudi government, so one of the main divisions between the two countries is the differences and views of the Muslim Brotherhood and the Reform Party as It is one of the examples in Yemen, and this has created discrepancies between them. On the other hand, Ansarullah’s power is increasing not only on the Ma’rib front, but also in several strategic points in Yemen.

So that when Saudi Arabia tried to stop the advance of “Ansarullah” by heavily bombarding the “Ma’rib” fronts, they were able to create a new front in “Shabwa” province as well as in “Al-Bayda” and achieved great achievements in both fronts. The result was the liberation of most areas of Al-Bayda province and a large part of Shabwa province. This evidence shows that Ansarullah’s credibility is increasing, and as a result, they are still able to recruit, expand, train and provide forces to fight Saudi Arabia. However, Saudi Arabia is not able to deal with Ansar al-Islam despite the financial turmoil and the recruitment of various mercenaries, and Saudi Arabia’s troubles and its retreat from the Red Sea coast south of Hodeidah are due to this weakness on the ground. It seems that Yemen should be considered on the eve of announcing the complete victory of “Ansarullah” and the liberation of “Ma’rib”.
Ma’rib and Shabwa are Yemen’s two oil-rich provinces, and there is a refinery in the city of Safar in Ma’rib province. Thus, the fall of these areas to Ansarullah means that the region’s oil and refinery facilities can solve some of the country’s internal problems, although it is still unlikely that a return to oil export conditions will be possible at this time.

Since Yemen is one of the axes of resistance, including the open fronts of this axis and the confrontation between the resistance front and the compromise and surrender front, victory in this country will change many equations in the region. To be more precise, the victory of “Ansarullah” changes the conditions of the axis of resistance and registers a great victory for this axis, so that this victory will undoubtedly compromise the equations in favor of the axis of resistance against the axis of resistance.

Therefore, we can expect that with the developments in Yemen in the coming days, we will see fundamental changes in the equations of the region and the axis of resistance, so that the fate of the Yemeni war will be determined in the coming days and weeks as Ansar al-Islam and the Yemeni army continue to advance.