Where should we be in 2050? / A look at the role of “population” in the “power” of countries + video

group Life; نعیما جاویدی: Economic, military, scientific power, etc. Summary The development of countries today is tied to population growth. This is evidenced by the fact that statistics and citations have changed the position of countries over the decades and reached the position they are in now. Until recently, experts in economics and other sciences related to demographic issues talked about the possibilities, and some even considered population growth as a factor in increasing the current costs of a country and increasing the number of consumers, but today, statistics and facts Statistics have new and strong words to say. What is shown in the short video attached to this report says the same thing with the “statistics” and “charts” literature. This report is a concise study to “examine the role of population growth and rejuvenation on the status, development and power of countries.” That the birth of a baby in an Iranian family is not limited to the birth of a baby, and in the macro and horizon of the future, the same births and how to support and manage it can achieve a #Iran_Strong better and faster.

Why did we get here?
It is natural to face at least two main perspectives on an important issue such as #population_growth. One group considers this as an opportunity and the other group considers it as a costly element in the development of a country and each of them gives evidence on what they claim. However, the study of population, which is one of the most strategic issues of any system and country, is a multifaceted issue that should be considered in the context of time and conditions of each period of time and at least estimates of two decades before and after. Like what happened to our country; The policies of population adjustment and reduction that began in the late Pahlavi period and continued after the revolution according to the conditions of the country during the war. Also, unfortunately, it was not monitored and stopped in time, so much so that experts and elites in this field from two decades ago, repeatedly warned of a declining trend in population growth and predicted population aging over the next few decades.

It was even said that Iran does not have more than two decades of golden opportunity to make up for what happened. Various suggestions, plans and programs were also presented. For example, and for this purpose, the “Rejuvenation of Population and Excellence” plan was recently approved by the Islamic Consultative Assembly to support childbearing and population growth. Thus, as is clear, changes in the product population are not a year or two and require constant monitoring; Examines past decades and provides accurate estimates for future decades. In fact, any action in this field should be consistent with the horizon and based on deep, accurate and practical futures research. This view helps not to “increase” the population overhead and costly, but to provide the productive, labor and creative force of the country to achieve better “development”. This is achieved when population development is accompanied by continuous, justice-oriented applications and economic and cultural implementation and operational programs and is monitored to prevent damage and pests.

Population competition between China and India

According to statistics released by the United Nations from the population estimates of the world’s independent countries in 2017, the most populous countries in the world were China, India and the United States, respectively. Iran was also ranked 17th in the table. Unfortunately, in the new statistics of this organization, the position of our country has not only not improved but has been declining; Iran is the 18th country in the world in the 2020 population table, and Turkey, which was previously after Iran, with its upward trend in the years 1398, 1399 and increasing the population to more than 84 million people to the 17th place; Our previous position has been reached. China with a population of nearly one and a half billion, India with more than one billion and three hundred million and Indonesia the most populous Muslim country in the world with 266 million people have caused the largest share of world population growth rate in Asia and of course the largest share It was related to China. Estimates also say that by 2050, India will be the world’s leading population and will overtake China. Understanding the importance of this issue with the current economic position and power of China is very clear and understandable. The figures also show that Indonesia will reach a population of about 320 million, following the same pattern of population growth.

Japan, Germany, and Italy, three of the top seven countries in the G7, are also at the top of the 2050 table, most likely due to global economic and power relations. They will undergo serious changes. Perhaps it is not bad to know that Japan is now ranked 11th in the world in terms of population, leading to a negative population growth rate and an increase in population aging rate. Numerous studies prove that what brought Japan to its current position of technology and power after World War II was an active workforce and national perseverance, a capacity that is now seeking to fill the void with the rise of artificial intelligence and the design of various robots. .

Germany, which previously had strict immigration and national identity laws, now has widespread publicity for labor recruitment and incentive policies to attract immigrants, have children and rejuvenate its population.

The future and invest from now
Estimating global population change by 2050 also says that population development will tend to Africa, for example Ethiopia will be one of the 10 most populous countries in the world in the next three decades, which is why many European countries have their profitable business offices and businesses in Africa. Especially this country has been seriously launched a decade ago.

Table 2050 states that the world’s population is over 8 billion and 900 million; It will reach about 9 billion people. Bill Gates’ controversial speeches on the need to control and reduce the young population were based on this table, which led to speculation about laboratory interventions in making laboratory changes in the structure of the Covid virus and the possibility of future coercion of the world’s big business owners with “weapons”. Biological “strengthened. He also reiterated the importance of strengthening and innovating in the field of “passive defense” in our country, and that we should be prepared and innovative in the face of threats to the “population security” of countries. In this sense, it may be better to understand to what extent population and demographic data can be synonymous with the development and definition of world power-building patterns.

Another example might better illustrate the point; China’s population growth, which is today the most populous country in the world, began in 1950, seven decades ago, and was controlled by some policies. Encouragement and support are meant, which means China does not want another country to take its place.

Why is young Iran important?

But another perspective on understanding the importance of population growth and excellence policies. Paul Samuelson, one of the economists whose traces can be seen in the creation of many specialties and the division of branches of economics today, was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1970 for an interesting article that perfectly balanced power and population. Note.

An article that proved that the best factor in the “mobility” and “evolution” of the economy is the “human fertility rate” or, in other words, the “growth and rejuvenation of the population.” Apart from him, other economists had similar views, which you can see in the picture above.

Now if we are to conclude we must return home; According to the data obtained and human development statistics in Iran, in 2018, more than 57% of its population is in the age range of 15 to 65 years, and less than 7% are under 5 years old, the same group as the “young” population in the next two decades. , Constitute the productive, creative workforce of the country. Instead, 57% of them become elderly. Should the power of this group be spent on maintaining and caring for that group or development ?!

With this in mind, it becomes very clear and actionable for a strong Iran to have supportive policies to control inflation, create jobs and pave the way for youth marriage, and tangible support in the form of child support and incentive schemes. It is very clear that the elderly country cannot be a productive and powerful country. The successful record of 8 years of the holy defense of the country during the imposed war and sending young volunteers to the fronts and the presence of a young and committed workforce clearly clarifies the role of the young population in preserving this country without a single inch of this land falling into enemy hands. . Scientific leaps in various fields and the brilliance of the country’s young athletes in world competitions is another manifestation of the achievements of youth and population.
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